Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Slask Wroclaw had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Slask Wroclaw win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match.