Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 10

Sep 29, 2024 at 1.45pm UK

Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Korona Kielce
2 - 3
Lech Poznan

Nuno (27', 55' pen.)
Trojak (4'), Zielinski (5'), Remacle (38')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Walemark (14', 61', 64')
Hotic (55'), Fiabema (85'), Milic (89')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 4-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, September 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
32.92% ( 0)	26.28% ( 0)	40.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.01)

51.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.01)

73.59% (

0.01)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0)

29.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0)

65.68%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.01)

25.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.01)

59.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 32.92%

Lech Poznan 40.79%

Draw 26.27%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.79%