Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.