Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 2
Cracovia

Pllana (77')
Conrado (17'), Zhelizko (36'), Chindris (48'), V'Yunnik (90+7'), Pllana (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kallman (4' pen., 4' pen., 44')
Sokolowski (18'), Ravas (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 3-3 Gdansk
Friday, October 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 6-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawKS Cracovia
34.18% (-1.722 -1.72)25.77% (0.562 0.56)40.04% (1.156 1.16)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-2.226 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-2.742 -2.74)49.43% (2.74 2.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-2.518 -2.52)71.47% (2.515 2.52)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-2.32 -2.32)27.67% (2.317 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-3.078 -3.08)63.21% (3.074 3.07)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.631 -0.63)24.36% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.898 -0.9)58.77% (0.895 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 34.19%
    KS Cracovia 40.04%
    Draw 25.77%
Lechia GdanskDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.403 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.305 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.723 0.72)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.864 0.86)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.498 0.5)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.04%