Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lechia Gdansk win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.