Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Piast

Piast Gliwice
3 - 3
Gdansk

D'Arrigo (63'), Felix (66'), Rosolek (81')
Huk (6'), Munoz (73'), Tomasiewicz (87'), Pyrka (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mena (4' pen.), Felix (43'), V'Yunnik (46')
Kapic (87'), Zhelizko (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Piast Gliwice and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Piast Gliwice

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Friday, October 18 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Legia
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lechia Gdansk win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Piast GliwiceDrawLechia Gdansk
56.3% (0.22 0.22)23.53% (-0.058 -0.06)20.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.32% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)49.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)71.72% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (0.087999999999994 0.09)17.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (0.156 0.16)47.95% (-0.157 -0.16)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.157 -0.16)39.02% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.148 -0.15)75.74% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Piast Gliwice 56.29%
    Lechia Gdansk 20.17%
    Draw 23.53%
Piast GliwiceDrawLechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 56.29%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 20.17%