Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Cybulski (22', 22'), Rondic (85', 85')
Guillaumier (72'), Shehu (80'), Matras (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Wlazlo (40' pen., 40' pen.)
Guillaumier (72'), Shehu (80'), Matras (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow
Saturday, November 30 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Legia
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
47.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)24.77% (-0.117 -0.12)28.09% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.474 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (0.58199999999999 0.58)47.52% (-0.581 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (0.538 0.54)69.73% (-0.536 -0.54)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.236 0.24)20.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.378 0.38)52.54% (-0.378 -0.38)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.39099999999999 0.39)30.81% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.457 0.46)67.09% (-0.45400000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 47.14%
    Stal Mielec 28.09%
    Draw 24.77%
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.09%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Stal Mielec
1-1
Widzew Lodz
Shkurin (45+2')
Esselink (19'), Stepien (90+3')
Lukowski (73')
Ibiza (52')
Ibiza (81')
Apr 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Stal Mielec
0-0
Widzew Lodz
Wlazlo (20')
Zyro (6'), Szota (32'), Hanousek (47'), Rondic (78')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Widzew Lodz
1-0
Stal Mielec
Cigaņiks (73')
Shehu (90+2')

Trabka (42'), Kieres (43')
Kieres (0')