Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.