Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Oct 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Musiolik (16', 44')
Guercio (37'), Jasper (86'), Bartolewski (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wolsztynski (69')
Matras (34')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Slask Wroclaw and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Katowice 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 3-1 Stal Mielec
Sunday, October 20 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slask Wroclaw win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slask Wroclaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slask Wroclaw would win this match.

Result
Slask WroclawDrawStal Mielec
50.27% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)25.45% (0.029 0.03)24.28% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)53.06% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)74.64% (0.053000000000011 0.05)
Slask Wroclaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.13% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)53.97% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)73.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Slask Wroclaw 50.26%
    Stal Mielec 24.28%
    Draw 25.45%
Slask WroclawDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24.28%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Slask Wroclaw
0-1
Stal Mielec

Magiera (9'), Klimala (86')
Shkurin (45')
Matras (8'), Santos (30')
Aug 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Stal Mielec
3-1
Slask Wroclaw
Hinokio (45', 53'), Trabka (55')
Ehmann (39'), Getinger (90'), Pajnowski (90+2')
Exposito (90+3' pen.)
Petkov (18')