Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
3 - 1
Stal Mielec

Zahovic (32'), Rasak (61'), Hellebrand (90+1')
Urban (21'), Olkowski (27'), Ismaheel (28'), Rasak (74'), Podolski (79'), Lukoszek (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wlazlo (39')
Domanski (20'), Senger (26'), Knap (45')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, October 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gdansk
Saturday, October 5 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawStal Mielec
57.81% (0.079000000000001 0.08)22.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)19.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.079999999999998 0.08)47.78% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.074999999999999 0.07)69.97% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (0.098999999999997 0.1)45.78% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52%75.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 57.8%
    Stal Mielec 19.38%
    Draw 22.81%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 57.8%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.38%

Head to Head
May 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Gornik
1-1
Stal Mielec
Pacheco (47')
Rasak (24'), Janza (59'), Szczesniak (88')
Wolsztynski (90+2')
Pingot (82')
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Stal Mielec
2-1
Gornik
Matras (15'), Shkurin (51')
Esselink (55')
Czyz (9')