Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
0 - 1
Zaglebie Lubin


Szala (22'), Furukawa (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pienko (32')
Nalepa (45+1'), Lawniczak (51')
Nalepa (49')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Gornik
Saturday, September 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, September 29 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawZaglebie Lubin
47.18% (-0.605 -0.61)24.76% (0.0040000000000013 0)28.06% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.379 0.38)47.52% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.35 0.35)69.72% (-0.345 -0.34)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.101 -0.1)20.2% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.163 -0.16)52.5% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.65300000000001 0.65)30.84% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.758 0.76)67.12% (-0.751 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 47.18%
    Zaglebie Lubin 28.06%
    Draw 24.76%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.06%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 27
Zaglebie Lubin
1-2
Gornik
Kurminowski (28')
Chodyna (68')
Czyz (37'), Krawczyk (66')
Pacheco (74'), Szczesniak (78')
Oct 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 10
Gornik
0-2
Zaglebie Lubin

Triantafyllopoulos (90+3')
Buletsa (36'), Wdowiak (90+7')
Grzybek (61')