Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.