Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 2
Legia

Wlazlo (28' pen.), Wolsztynski (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morishita (12'), Augustyniak (63' pen.)
Urbanski (2'), Gual (57')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Omonia 0-3 Legia
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
29.94% (-0.061 -0.06)26.44% (0.040000000000003 0.04)43.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-0.179 -0.18)53.45% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.148 -0.15)74.98% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)32.52% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.153 -0.15)69.05% (0.157 0.16)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)24.34% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)58.73% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 29.94%
    Legia Warsaw 43.62%
    Draw 26.43%
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.62%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Stal Mielec
1-3
Legia
Shkurin (39')
Getinger (3'), Kieres (4'), Esselink (20')
Pesqueira (21' pen.), Kapustka (76'), Rosolek (90+4' pen.)
Pesqueira (68'), Kapustka (84')
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Legia
1-3
Stal Mielec
Kramer (89')
Kapuadi (13'), Slisz (24'), Jedrzejczyk (58'), Kramer (86')
Shkurin (38'), Wolkowicz (50'), Hinokio (82')
Wolkowicz (10'), Shkurin (90')