Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.