Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 0
Puszcza Niepolomice

Shkurin (67', 74')
Esselink (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yakuba (20'), Craciun (57')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Lech Poznan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
48.34% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.38% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)25.29% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.036000000000001 0.04)23.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.97% (-0.055 -0.05)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)37.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)74.29% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 48.33%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 25.29%
    Draw 26.37%
Stal MielecDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.29%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 20
Stal Mielec
2-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Shkurin (83'), Wlazlo (90+3')
Pingot (66'), Wlazlo (90+4')
Cholewiak (23')
Zych (73'), Yakuba (90+2')
Aug 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Puszcza Niepolomice
1-0
Stal Mielec
Walski (65')
Siemaszko (41'), Hajda (42'), Majchrzak (75'), Serafin (80')

Hinokio (61'), Kochalski (65'), Wlazlo (68')