Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.