Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.