Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 3
Jagiellonia

Lawniczak (75')
Radwanski (16')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Imaz (20', 58'), Normann Hansen (24')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, October 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Legia
Sunday, October 6 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
52.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 52.1% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.56% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)71.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)35.68% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 52.12%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 23.48%
    Draw 24.38%
Zaglebie LubinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Zaglebie Lubin
1-2
Jagiellonia
Munoz (90')
Grzybek (59')
Normann Hansen (15', 74')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Jagiellonia
3-0
Zaglebie Lubin
Skrzypczak (28'), Pululu (44' pen.), Wdowik (66')
Nene (48')