FC Copenhagen
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parken

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Jagiellonia

Hatzidiakos (12')
Lopez (26'), Cornelius (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pululu (51'), Churlinov (90+8')
Normann Hansen (40'), Nguiamba (53'), Sacek (66'), Silva (78'), Abramowicz (86')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Copenhagen and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
CopenhagenDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
73.63% (-0.22 -0.22)15.52% (0.357 0.36)10.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-2.084 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.1% (-2.289 -2.29)31.9% (2.295 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.55% (-2.728 -2.73)53.45% (2.734 2.73)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.58% (-0.568 -0.57)7.43% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.27% (-1.509 -1.51)26.73% (1.516 1.52)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-1.871 -1.87)40.27% (1.876 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-1.749 -1.75)76.9% (1.754 1.75)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 73.62%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 10.85%
    Draw 15.52%
CopenhagenDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.649 0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.723 0.72)
4-0 @ 5.7% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.237 -0.24)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 73.62%
1-1 @ 7.07% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.36 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.52%
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.72% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia

Copenhagen
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
6.7%
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