UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Copenhagen

(Copenhagen win 3-1 on aggregate)

Watkins (16')
Armstrong (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mayo (68' og.)
Lerager (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Kilmarnock and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Copenhagen

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Copenhagen
25.51% ( 0.25)	23.37% ( 0.05)	51.12% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.69% (

-0)

43.3% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.3% (

-0)

65.7% (

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.2)

30.57% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

0.23)

66.8% (

-0.23)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.11)

17.01% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.19)

47.14% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 25.51%

Copenhagen 51.12%

Draw 23.37%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Copenhagen
2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.51%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.12%