Motherwell logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Ebiye (96')
Casey (48'), Sparrow (105')
FT
(aet)

Findlay (44'), Lyons (87'), O'Hara (90+5'), Watson (95'), Deas (110')
Findlay (51')
Motherwell win 0-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 0-1 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.73%).

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
54.22% (0.36300000000001 0.36)24.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)21.76% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.058 -0.06)49.83% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.052 -0.05)71.83% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.114 0.11)18.28% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (0.195 0.2)49.35% (-0.195 -0.2)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.323 -0.32)37.46% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (-0.319 -0.32)74.24% (0.31999999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 54.21%
    Kilmarnock 21.76%
    Draw 24.02%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Motherwell
43.8%
Draw
0.0%
Kilmarnock
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Motherwell
Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

Casey (32')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
1-1
Motherwell
Robinson (17')
Slattery (90')
> Preview