Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.73%).