Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%).