Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.