Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Montrose
Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Links Park
Queen of the South

Montrose
3 - 2
QotS

Callaghan (52'), Quinn (64', 82')
Quinn (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mumbongo (18', 42')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 2-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
MontroseDrawQueen of the South
29.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.15% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.19% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.022000000000006 0.02)25.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)60.03% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.82% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)46.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 29.75%
    Queen of the South 47.14%
    Draw 23.1%
MontroseDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.8%
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 47.14%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
QotS
2-3
Montrose
Connelly (26'), Mumbongo (81')
Connelly (45+1')
Gardyne (60'), Webster (71' pen., 75')
Steeves (63')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Montrose
1-4
QotS
Brown (90+3')
Webster (2'), Graham (47'), Watson (52'), Thomson (78')
Connelly (4', 43'), Ferguson (22', 34')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
QotS
2-3
Montrose
McKechnie (48'), Gibson (60')
Mimnaugh (35'), (90+3')
Quinn (10'), Brown (15', 67')
Hester (77')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
QotS
2-3
Montrose
Brydon (8'), Hendrie (20')
McAllister (16' pen., 45+1'), Brown (38')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Montrose
1-0
QotS
Lyons (62')