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Scottish Premiership

Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Johnstone logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
St Johnstone

Ebiye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clark (18'), Sidibeh (45+1')
Keltjens (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
48.7% (0.191 0.19)24.38% (0.041 0.04)26.93% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (-0.334 -0.33)46.61% (0.339 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (-0.316 -0.32)68.88% (0.321 0.32)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.21% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)50.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.346 -0.35)31.21% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (-0.407 -0.41)67.56% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 48.7%
    St Johnstone 26.93%
    Draw 24.37%
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.93%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Johnstone

Motherwell
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
St Johnstone
1-1
Motherwell
McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')
Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
1-1
St Johnstone
Biereth (90+2')
Mugabi (53' og.)
> Preview
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Johnstone
2-2
Motherwell
Clark (17'), Considine (27')
Phillips (43')
Blaney (68'), Biereth (74')
Slattery (37'), Paton (47')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Johnstone
0-2
Motherwell
Van Veen (52' pen.), Mandron (90+3')
Furlong (36')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Motherwell
0-2
St Johnstone
Wright (5'), Hallberg (49')
> Preview