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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Johnstone logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
St Johnstone

Ebiye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clark (18'), Sidibeh (45+1')
Keltjens (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone

With so much on the line for St Johnstone, they will likely be able to pull out an important three points here, even though it is guaranteed to be a close game. Whether that victory is enough to guarantee their Scottish Premiership status for another year will remain to be seen though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
48.7% (0.191 0.19) 24.38% (0.041 0.04) 26.93% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (-0.334 -0.33)46.61% (0.339 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (-0.316 -0.32)68.88% (0.321 0.32)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.21% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)50.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.346 -0.35)31.21% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (-0.407 -0.41)67.56% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 48.7%
    St Johnstone 26.93%
    Draw 24.37%
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.93%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Johnstone

Motherwell
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
St Johnstone
1-1
Motherwell
McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')
Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
1-1
St Johnstone
Biereth (90+2')
Mugabi (53' og.)
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Johnstone
2-2
Motherwell
Clark (17'), Considine (27')
Phillips (43')
Blaney (68'), Biereth (74')
Slattery (37'), Paton (47')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Johnstone
0-2
Motherwell
Van Veen (52' pen.), Mandron (90+3')
Furlong (36')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
 
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Sunday, June 30
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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