Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 38.09% ( | 26.95% ( | 34.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( | 54.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( | 75.65% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( | 27.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( | 63.19% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( | 65.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.95% |