Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 5.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 83.4% ( | 10.97% ( | 5.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.69% ( | 28.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.88% ( | 49.11% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( | 4.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.35% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.17% ( | 49.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.46% ( | 84.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 4-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 4-1 @ 5.87% ( 5-0 @ 5.08% ( 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 6-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 6-1 @ 1.78% ( 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 7-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.94% Total : 83.39% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0-0 @ 2.44% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.97% | 1-2 @ 1.78% ( 0-1 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 5.63% |