Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.