Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.