Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.