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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
0 - 1
Tromso


Siltanen (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nordas (54')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and Tromso IL.

Form, Standings, Stats

KuPS

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Lahti
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
KuPSDrawTromso IL
48.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.14% (-0.134 -0.13)27.54% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (0.657 0.66)45.13% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.627 0.63)67.47% (-0.627 -0.63)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.274 0.27)18.78% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.455 0.45)50.18% (-0.454 -0.45)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.41199999999999 0.41)29.98% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.494 0.49)66.1% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 48.32%
    Tromso IL 27.54%
    Draw 24.14%
KuPSDrawTromso IL
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: KuPS vs Tromso

KuPS
76.9%
Draw
11.5%
Tromso IL
11.5%
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