Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 12
Jun 28, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Molde logo

Tromso
0 - 2
Molde

FT(HT: 0-1)
Eriksen (33'), Fjortoft Lovik (61')
Fjortoft Lovik (16'), Posiadala (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: Molde 2-2 Viking FK
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.

Result
Tromso ILDrawMolde
36.11% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)40.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 62.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (0.014000000000003 0.01)39.91% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)22.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)55.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)52.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 36.11%
    Molde 40.11%
    Draw 23.78%
Tromso ILDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.13%
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 40.11%

How you voted: Tromso vs Molde

Tromso IL
21.7%
Draw
13.0%
Molde
65.2%
23
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Molde
1-4
Tromso
Haugen (84')
Wolff Eikrem (88')
Hadji Malick Diouf (33'), Traore (56'), Nordas (75', 78')
Gundersen (19'), Opsahl (27')
Apr 10, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Tromso
1-0
Molde
Erlien (54')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Tromso
0-1
Molde
Brynhildsen (23')
Jul 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Molde
5-1
Tromso
Knudtzon (16'), Haugen (20'), Fofana (45+3', 62'), Andre Kaasa (63')
Knudtzon (29')
Kitolano (7')
Kitolano (38'), Kjelsrud Vik (72')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Molde
3-0
Tromso
Haugen (34'), Brynhildsen (78'), Bjornbak (83')
Ellingsen (57'), Mannsverk (63')