Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.