Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Tromso IL	Draw	Lillestrom
45.74% ( 0.08)	23.42% ( 0)	30.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.65% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.18% (

-0.07)

39.82% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82% (

-0.07)

62.17% (

0.07)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

0.01)

17.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6% (

0.01)

48.4% (

-0.01)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.08)

25.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

-0.12)

59.74% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Tromso IL 45.74%

Lillestrom 30.84%

Draw 23.41%

Tromso IL	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.74%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.84%