Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Molde had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.