Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.