Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Lahti win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oulu in this match.