Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.