Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 21, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
0 - 1
Tromso

Melkersen (38')
Tomasson (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nordas (49')
Thierno Barry (57'), Grontvedt Jensen (81'), Yttergard Jenssen (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and Tromso IL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stromsgodset

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 KFUM
Saturday, July 13 at 9pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
StromsgodsetDrawTromso IL
45.36% (0.085000000000001 0.09)24.41% (0.077000000000002 0.08)30.23% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (-0.428 -0.43)44.74% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (-0.415 -0.41)67.1% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (-0.137 -0.14)19.85% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)51.94% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.318 -0.32)27.89% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.411 -0.41)63.5% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Stromsgodset 45.36%
    Tromso IL 30.23%
    Draw 24.41%
StromsgodsetDrawTromso IL
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.36%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Stromsgodset vs Tromso

Stromsgodset
84.0%
Draw
8.0%
Tromso IL
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 27
Tromso
0-1
Stromsgodset

Psyche (45'), Opsahl (90+7')
Farji (84')
Valsvik (29'), Leifsson (57')
Apr 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Stromsgodset
0-1
Tromso
Paintsil (73')
Oct 9, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Stromsgodset
1-2
Tromso
Braut Brunes (11')
Mikkelsen (28'), Kitolano (87')
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Tromso
1-0
Stromsgodset
Norheim (7')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 26
Tromso
1-1
Stromsgodset
Ebiye (84')
Kitolano (36')
Hove (62')