Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Jul 13, 2024 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
3 - 1
Stromsgodset

Lehne Olsen (15' pen.), Kitolano (17'), Lundemo (47')
Va (64'), Rossing-Lelesiit (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tomasson (32')
Tomasson (24'), Mehnert (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Stromsgodset, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Stromsgodset

All competitions
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-1 Sandefjord
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawStromsgodset
51.49% (0.207 0.21)23.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.62% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)46.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (-0.055 -0.05)68.62% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.061000000000007 0.06)18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (0.1 0.1)48.87% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)32.92% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (-0.207 -0.21)69.5% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 51.49%
    Stromsgodset 24.62%
    Draw 23.88%
LillestromDrawStromsgodset
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 24.62%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Stromsgodset

Lillestrom
40.9%
Draw
54.5%
Stromsgodset
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Stromsgodset
1-2
Lillestrom
Melkersen (87')
Isnes (46'), Kristensen Dahl (81'), Myhra (81')
Ibrahimaj (34'), Lehne Olsen (49')
Edh (45+2')
Apr 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Lillestrom
4-3
Stromsgodset
Garnas (23'), Lehne Olsen (25'), Asen (84'), Adams (90+5')
Ipalibo (32'), Valsvik (39'), Mehnert (76')
Sep 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lillestrom
2-1
Stromsgodset
Asen (13'), Dragsnes (43')
Valsvik (80')
Jun 26, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
Stromsgodset
3-0
Lillestrom
Ipalibo (53'), Tokstad (76'), Salvesen (90+7')
Vilsvik (13'), Myhra (81'), Stengel (90+3')

Dragsnes (13'), Garnas (22'), Ogbu (29'), Holst (65')
Asen (83')
Nov 27, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 28
Lillestrom
4-1
Stromsgodset
Lehne Olsen (21', 44', 61'), Dragsnes (45')
Hove (86')
Leifsson (18'), Krasniqi (53'), Fjeld Gulliksen (90')