Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
2 - 1
KFUM

Garnas (19'), Moen Foss (86')
Va (45+3'), Rossing-Lelesiit (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nunez Godoy (48')
Akinyemi (82'), Aleesami (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and KFUM Oslo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KFUM 3-3 Sandefjord
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for KFUM Oslo had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest KFUM Oslo win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lillestrom in this match.

Result
LillestromDrawKFUM Oslo
49.43% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)28.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.61% (0.029999999999994 0.03)37.39% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.39% (0.035000000000004 0.04)59.61% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.28% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
KFUM Oslo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.02600000000001 0.03)25.65% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)60.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 49.43%
    KFUM Oslo 28.02%
    Draw 22.54%
LillestromDrawKFUM Oslo
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.02%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs KFUM

Lillestrom
44.7%
Draw
10.5%
KFUM Oslo
44.7%
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