Molde logo
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
Aker Stadion
Lillestrom

Molde
3 - 0
Lillestrom

Eriksen (13'), Christiansen (24' og.), Fjortoft Lovik (67')
Amundsen (51'), Daehli (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lucky (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 0-2 Molde
Friday, June 28 at 8.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-1 KFUM
Thursday, June 27 at 8.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.03%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 21.16% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 3-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLillestrom
59.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)21.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.69% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)31.3% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.25% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)52.75% (0.067 0.07)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)34.25% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)27.47% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.055 -0.05)62.96% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Molde 59.03%
    Lillestrom 21.16%
    Draw 19.81%
MoldeDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 59.03%
1-1 @ 8.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 19.81%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Molde vs Lillestrom

Molde
96.2%
Draw
3.8%
Lillestrom
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 28
Molde
4-0
Lillestrom
Gabrielsen (4' og.), Berisha (11', 23'), Hestad (89')

Skogvold (56')
Apr 23, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 3
Lillestrom
2-1
Molde
Tonnessen (5'), Adams (37')
Breivik (35')
Oct 16, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Lillestrom
0-1
Molde
Hussain (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Molde
1-2
Lillestrom
Haugen (79')
Haugan (55'), Hussain (85')
Ogbu (19'), Fridjonsson (90+8')
Edh (30'), Asen (71')
Dec 5, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Molde
3-3
Lillestrom
Wolff Eikrem (64'), Hestad (80'), Omoijuanfo (83')
Bjornbak (86'), Brynhildsen (90+2'), Wolff Eikrem (90+5')
Asen (33'), Edh (47'), Lehne Olsen (89')
Ogbu (63'), Garnas (90+2'), Bakke (90+3'), Edh (90+5')