Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.