Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Kristiansund
3 - 1
Fredrikstad

Alte (14'), Sivertsen (45+4' pen.), Traore (59' og.)
Rakneberg (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bjorlo (9' pen.)
Woledzi (58'), Kvile (78')
Bjorlo (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Kristiansund and Fredrikstad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kristiansund

All competitions
Last Game: Odd 1-1 Kristiansund
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Fredrikstad
Sunday, June 2 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.

Result
KristiansundDrawFredrikstad
38.01% (0.097000000000001 0.1)25.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)36.06% (-0.185 -0.18)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.406 -0.41)49.89% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.363 -0.36)71.88% (0.367 0.37)
Kristiansund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.134 -0.13)25.66% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (-0.182 -0.18)60.56% (0.185 0.18)
Fredrikstad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.298 -0.3)26.76% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.398 -0.4)62.04% (0.401 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Kristiansund 38.01%
    Fredrikstad 36.06%
    Draw 25.93%
KristiansundDrawFredrikstad
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.06%

How you voted: Kristiansund vs Fredrikstad

Kristiansund
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Fredrikstad
55.6%
54