Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
Aug 25, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Habib Gueye 23' goal
  • Habib Gueye 65' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 67' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Slobodan Rubezic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Bradley Lyons 54'

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
Aberdeen 3 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 3 St Johnstone
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result

Aberdeen 73.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 16.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 9.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 64.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 90.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 50.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 15.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 84.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 73.74%
Draw 16.66%
Kilmarnock 9.59%
Aberdeen
2-0 @ 13.05%
1-0 @ 11.23%
3-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.15%
5-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 73.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.66%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 2.79%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.59%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Aberdeen
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Jamie McGrath 11' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 33' goal
  • Jack MacKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 66' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 70' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Armstrong 41'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
Aberdeen
  • Corrie Ndaba 45'+5' goal
  • Matty Kennedy 58' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neil Warnock 0'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Graeme Shinnie 45' yellowcard
  • Jonny Hayes 65' yellowcard
  • Stefan Gartenmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 86'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
Aberdeen
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+5' goal
  • Marley Watkins 64' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Gartenmann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ester Sokler 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Luis Lopes 1' goal
  • Luis Lopes 59' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Aberdeen
  • Scott Robinson 31' goal
  • Joe Wright 42' goal
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+1'

Form Data

Aberdeen 1 - 0 Queen's Park
Aberdeen 3 - 1 St Mirren
St Johnstone 1 - 2 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 6 - 0 Dumbarton
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Airdrieonians
East Kilbride 0 - 4 Aberdeen
Copenhagen 2 - 0 Kilmarnock
Motherwell 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Tromso 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 0 - 3 St Johnstone
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Tromso
Celtic 4 - 0 Kilmarnock