Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 73.75% ( | 16.66% ( | 9.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( | 9.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.48% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.61% ( | 49.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.77% ( | 84.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-0 @ 13.05% 1-0 @ 11.23% 3-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.88% ( 4-1 @ 4.15% 5-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 6-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.28% Total : 73.74% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 2-2 @ 3.25% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.66% | 0-1 @ 3.41% 1-2 @ 2.79% 0-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.59% |