Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.