Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Molloy (88' og.)
Raymond (8'), Essel (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Devlin (22'), McGrath (62')
Ambrose (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 5-1 East Fife
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 6-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Aberdeen
25.65% ( -0.7)	26.95% ( -0.19)	47.4% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.37% (

0.26)

57.63% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.6% (

0.2)

78.4% (

-0.2)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-0.46)

38.2% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.03% (

-0.45)

74.97% (

0.45)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

0.54)

24.35% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25% (

0.76)

58.75% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 25.65%

Aberdeen 47.4%

Draw 26.95%

St Johnstone	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.65%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.4%