Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.22%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.