Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 74.92%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for East Kilbride had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-3 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a East Kilbride win it was 2-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.