Stirling Albion
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Forthbank Stadium

Stirling
0 - 3
East Kilbride

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lyon (18'), Kelly (82'), Stirling (84')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Stirling Albion and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stirling Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Celtic Res. 1-3 East Kilbride
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Falkirk52.50Allan
2QotS52.50Reilly
3Alloa42.00Rodden
4Hamilton31.50One
5Montrose31.50Brown
6Cove Rangers21.00Burrell
7Kelty Hearts21.00Biabi
8Stirling21.00Carrick
9Annan10.50Cross-Adair
10Edinburgh10.50Murray

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Stirling AlbionDrawEast Kilbride
45.49% (7.233 7.23)22.67% (-0.401 -0.4)31.83% (-6.834 -6.83)
Both teams to score 64.95% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.29% (0.48100000000001 0.48)35.71% (-0.484 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.22% (0.529 0.53)57.77% (-0.532 -0.53)
Stirling Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (3.195 3.2)16.22% (-3.198 -3.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (5.516 5.52)45.72% (-5.519 -5.52)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-3.243 -3.24)22.47% (3.24 3.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-5.089 -5.09)56.02% (5.087 5.09)
Score Analysis
    Stirling Albion 45.49%
    East Kilbride 31.83%
    Draw 22.67%
Stirling AlbionDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 9% (0.733 0.73)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 6.03% (1.014 1.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.94 0.94)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.916 0.92)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.631 0.63)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.327 0.33)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.54 0.54)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.296 0.3)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.929 -0.93)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.714 -0.71)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-1.013 -1.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.895 -0.9)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.403 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.768 -0.77)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.512 -0.51)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.296 -0.3)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.83%