Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

Motherwell U21s
1 - 2
East Kilbride

Hunter (83' pen.)
Devine (59'), Speirs (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (1'), Hughes (90+4')
Mortimer (58'), Pereira (63'), Hughes (74'), McGuire (77'), McLean (82'), Tayler (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Motherwell Under-21s and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell Under-21s

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Last Game: Stranraer 3-0 Motherwell U21s
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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East Kilbride

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Last Game: Falkirk 3-0 East Kilbride
Wednesday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Motherwell Under-21s had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-4 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a Motherwell Under-21s win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.

Result
Motherwell Under-21sDrawEast Kilbride
5.99% (-0.0149 -0.01)9.15% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)84.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.2% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
69.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Motherwell Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.06% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.5% (0.007000000000005 0.01)2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)11.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell Under-21s 5.99%
    East Kilbride 84.86%
    Draw 9.15%
Motherwell Under-21sDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 5.99%
1-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 9.15%
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 7.59%
1-4 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 5.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 5.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-7 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
0-7 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-6 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 6.55%
Total : 84.86%

rhs 2.0


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