Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Celtic Park

Celtic Res.
1 - 3
East Kilbride

Vata (12')
Frame (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Biggar (6'), Samson (57'), Kelly (82')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Celtic Reserves and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic Reserves

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Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Celtic Res.
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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East Kilbride

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Last Game: East Kilbride 1-1 Annan (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic Reserves win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic Reserves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Celtic ReservesDrawEast Kilbride
41.16% (5.135 5.14)22.73% (0.269 0.27)36.11% (-5.398 -5.4)
Both teams to score 66.24% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.39% (-1.361 -1.36)34.61% (1.366 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.44% (-1.546 -1.55)56.56% (1.55 1.55)
Celtic Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (1.677 1.68)17.48% (-1.671 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03% (2.846 2.85)47.97% (-2.841 -2.84)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-2.95 -2.95)19.73% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-5.028 -5.03)51.75% (5.032 5.03)
Score Analysis
    Celtic Reserves 41.16%
    East Kilbride 36.11%
    Draw 22.73%
Celtic ReservesDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.705 0.71)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.857 0.86)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.632 0.63)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.375 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.331 0.33)
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.539 -0.54)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.577 -0.58)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.423 -0.42)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.589 -0.59)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.363 -0.36)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.11%