Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
5 - 1
Livingston

Hoilett (58', 81'), Shinnie (74'), Polvara (77'), Boyd (90+3')
Barron (34'), Devlin (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yengi (52' pen.)
Nottingham (57'), Shinnie (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 0-4 Aberdeen
Sunday, May 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
70.36% ( -0.17)	17.49% ( 0.14)	12.16% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.19% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62% (

-0.6)

37.99% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74% (

-0.65)

60.26% (

0.65)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.35% (

-0.2)

9.65% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.78% (

-0.47)

32.22% (

0.47)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76% (

-0.36)

42.24% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36% (

-0.31)

78.64% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 70.36%

Livingston 12.16%

Draw 17.49%

Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 70.36%	1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.49%	1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.16%