Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.