Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	East Fife
47.97% ( 0.03)	25.51% ( -0)	26.51% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

-0)

51.63% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0)

73.41% (

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

0.01)

21.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.01)

54.6% (

-0.01)

East Fife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.02)

34.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-0.02)

70.9% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 47.97%

East Fife 26.51%

Draw 25.51%

St Johnstone	Draw	East Fife
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.97%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.51%